Global newbuilding demand is estimated to record yearly average of 59m gt from 2009 to 2020, following after 67.1m gt during 2020-25 and 81m gt during 2025-2030, with overall long-term growth rate of 37%.
According to '2012 Shipbuilding Yearbook', issued by the Korea Shipbuilders' Association (KOSHIPA) in July, newbuilding demand for boxship and tanker will heavily increase by 2030, while bulker demand will slightly decline.
As for yearly newbuilding demand, containership will jump from 13.2m gt (2009-20) to 24.7m gt (2025-30) and tanker is to increase from 9.7m gt to 17.8m gt, during the same period, while bulker is expected to decline from 20m gt to 18.9m gt.
In case of LNG carrier, newbuilding demand in every year will rise from 3.1m gt (2009-20) to 3.5m gt (20-25), which would turn around to diminish to 2.6m gt (25-30).
Meanwhile, as for other shipbuilding countries' newbuilding demand, the Shipbuilders' Association of Japan (SAJ) prospected 54m gt from 2009 to 2020, 53.5m gt from 2020 to 2025 and 61.4m gt from 2025 to 2030, while the China Association of National Shipbuilding Industry (CANSI) forecast 56.4m gt, 72.5m gt and 71.4m gt, during the same period.
The Community of European Shipyards Associations (CESA) expected 54.3m gt, 63.5m gt and 78.8m gt, during the same period.
Major shipbuilding countries have all projected newbuilding demand will mount in a long-term perspective.